Dow 30 Trend & Reversal Screen — Sector Report

Universe: all 30 constituents in the file (a mega-cap blue-chip list, so most sectors here contain just 1–3 names rather than the deep sector pools — ranking is by signal quality/strength per sector, not by % of names hit).

Reading the data

  • Long/Medium/Short Term Level (0–100): position within each timeframe’s trading range. Near 100 = pressing highs on that horizon; near 0 = pressing lows.
  • Momentum: rate of change/acceleration — positive means the move is still gaining speed, negative means it’s accelerating lower.
  • Trend play: all three levels aligned with momentum confirming — an established, continuing move.
  • Reversal play: the short-term level has flipped hard against the long-term level, with momentum sizeable enough to matter.

🟢 BUY SIDE — sectors ranked by bullish signal strength

1. Software and Computer Services — clear #1 bullish sector

TickerNameLTMTSTMomentumPlay
CRMSalesforce.com Inc90.090.689.9+23.27Trend buy — the strongest, most fully-aligned reading in the entire file by a wide margin
MSFTMicrosoft Corp95.692.978.8+4.37Trend buy — near-maximal on long and medium term, momentum still expanding
IBMIBM Corp26.682.748.2+1.42No qualifying signal — medium-term strength hasn’t been confirmed by long or short term; watch rather than trade

Reason: Two of the three names in this sector are outright trend buys, and CRM’s momentum reading (+23.27) is roughly 4x the next-highest positive momentum in the file — this is the single most convicted bullish move on the list, with MSFT confirming the sector isn’t a one-stock story.

2. Energy (Oil, Gas and Coal)

TickerNameLTMTSTMomentumPlay
CVXChevron Corp84.368.568.6+0.06Trend buy — all three levels aligned and above 65

Reason: Clean trend alignment across all timeframes, though momentum is essentially flat (+0.06) — this is a steady continuation rather than an accelerating move, so size it accordingly against CRM/MSFT.

3. Consumer Electronics (Leisure Goods) — dip/reversal buy

TickerNameLTMTSTMomentumPlay
AAPLApple Inc74.038.571.1+2.27Reversal buy — medium-term dipped to 38.5 but short-term has already snapped back near the long-term high, with momentum confirming

Reason: The long-term trend (74.0) never broke down; the medium-term pullback looks to be over given the short-term is already back at 71.1 with positive, accelerating momentum — a buy-the-dip reversal rather than a fresh breakdown.

4. Semiconductors (Technology Hardware and Equipment) — momentum leader, watch for confirmation

TickerNameLTMTSTMomentumPlay
NVDANVIDIA Corp76.074.149.0+6.33Reversal watch — long/medium term still strong, short-term has cooled to the middle of its range but momentum is the second-highest positive reading in the file

Reason: The gap between a still-strong medium-term level (74.1) and a cooler short-term level (49.0) alongside strongly positive momentum reads as a pause within an uptrend rather than a breakdown — worth watching for the short-term level to turn back up before treating it as a full reversal signal.

5. General Industrials — early basing, lowest-conviction buy idea

TickerNameLTMTSTMomentumPlay
HONHoneywell International44.025.232.1+1.94Early-stage watch — levels are still low across the board but momentum has turned positive

Reason: Included for completeness rather than conviction — none of the three levels clear a “strong” threshold, but this is the only industrial name with positive momentum, worth flagging against its sector-mate 3M (see sell side) which is outright breaking down.


🔴 SELL SIDE — sectors ranked by bearish signal strength

1. Travel and Leisure

TickerNameLTMTSTMomentumPlay
MCDMcDonald’s Corp5.425.833.7-3.01Trend sell — all three levels depressed with negative momentum

Reason: Every timeframe is weak and momentum is still negative. One caveat: the short-term level (33.7) sitting above the medium (25.8) and long-term (5.4) levels hints at very early stabilization off the bottom — worth watching for momentum to turn before assuming the downtrend is done, but on the numbers as they stand this is a sell, not a reversal.

2. Pharmaceuticals, Biotechnology and Cannabis Producers — two of three names breaking down

TickerNameLTMTSTMomentumPlay
MRKMerck & Co86.923.020.2-5.04Reversal sell — worst momentum reading of the bearish group, sharp break from a long-term high
AMGNAmgen Inc88.267.215.0-2.84Reversal sell — long-term still strong, short-term has collapsed
JNJJohnson & Johnson88.943.431.0-2.53No qualifying reversal signal (short-term above the -25 reversal cutoff) but the whole sector is trending the same direction — treat as a soft sell / avoid-for-now

Reason: All three Dow pharma names carry negative momentum, with MRK and AMGN both showing a hard break from long-term strength — a sector-wide reversal rather than a single-name story.

3. Beverages

TickerNameLTMTSTMomentumPlay
KOCoca-Cola Co86.852.811.2-3.36Reversal sell — was a long-term leader (86.8), short-term has broken to the bottom of its range

Reason: The gap between long-term (86.8) and short-term (11.2) is one of the widest in the file — a fast, sharp reversal out of a well-established uptrend.

4. General Industrials — the sell side of a sector split

TickerNameLTMTSTMomentumPlay
MMM3M Co74.116.55.6-2.20Reversal sell — long-term strength has fully unwound

Reason: Worth reading together with Honeywell above — same sector, opposite signal. 3M has broken down hard from a strong long-term base while Honeywell is just starting to turn up from a weak one, which is more a stock-specific divergence than a sector-wide call.

5. Media

TickerNameLTMTSTMomentumPlay
DISWalt Disney Co62.857.221.7-3.28Reversal sell — short-term has dropped well below both longer-term levels with momentum still negative

Reason: Long and medium-term levels are still respectable (62.8/57.2), but the short-term break to 21.7 with accelerating negative momentum is an early warning the broader trend may be rolling over.


No qualifying signal (neutral / mixed — not actionable on this screen)

WMT, CSCO, BA, CAT, AXP, GS, HD, JPM, NKE, PG, SHW, TRV, UNH, VZ, V — levels and momentum don’t align clearly enough in either direction to call a trend or reversal play.


Bottom line

  • Best trend buys: CRM, MSFT (Software), CVX (Energy)
  • Best reversal buy: AAPL (dip-buy within an intact long-term uptrend)
  • Best trend sell: MCD (Travel & Leisure)
  • Best reversal sells: KO (Beverages), MRK/AMGN (Pharma), MMM (Industrials), DIS (Media)

This is a mechanical reading of the trend/momentum levels — no fundamentals, valuation, or news context were considered, so treat it as a screening starting point rather than a standalone recommendation.