Watchlist 2026-09-04

Top 5 Commodities to Watch:

  1. HRC Steel – Most powerful breakout signal
  2. Coal – Extremely strong momentum
  3. Soybeans – Strong agricultural breakout
  4. Sugar – Consistent uptrend with strong CCI
  5. Brent Oil – Energy sector breakout leader

Top 3 Stocks to Watch:

  1. TGB (Trekor Metals) – Best equity play on steel/iron ore strength
  2. SOC (Sable Offshore) – Best equity play on oil strength
  3. GAU (Galiano Gold) – Best gold-related equity opportunity

Disclaimer: This analysis is based on historical technical data and should not be considered financial advice. Always conduct thorough fundamental analysis and consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Watchlist 2026-09-04

Top 5 Commodities to Watch:

  1. HRC Steel – Most powerful breakout signal
  2. Coal – Extremely strong momentum
  3. Soybeans – Strong agricultural breakout
  4. Sugar – Consistent uptrend with strong CCI
  5. Brent Oil – Energy sector breakout leader

Top 3 Stocks to Watch:

  1. TGB (Trekor Metals) – Best equity play on steel/iron ore strength
  2. SOC (Sable Offshore) – Best equity play on oil strength
  3. GAU (Galiano Gold) – Best gold-related equity opportunity

Disclaimer: This analysis is based on historical technical data and should not be considered financial advice. Always conduct thorough fundamental analysis and consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions.

NASDAQ-100 Trend & Reversal Screen — Sector Report 2026-08-28

Universe: 100 NASDAQ names across 25 sectors.

Reading the data

  • Long/Medium/Short Term Level (0–100): position within each timeframe’s trading range. Near 100 = pressing highs on that horizon; near 0 = pressing lows.
  • Momentum: rate of change/acceleration — positive means the move is still gaining speed, negative means it’s accelerating lower.
  • Trend play: all three levels aligned with momentum confirming — an established, continuing move.
  • Reversal play: short-term level has flipped hard against the long-term level, with momentum sizeable enough to matter.
  • Sectors are ranked by the % of constituents flashing a signal, so a large sector isn’t automatically ranked ahead of a small one just on raw count. Sectors with only 1–2 members are flagged as small-sample.

🟢 BUY SIDE — sectors ranked by bullish signal strength

1. Software and Computer Services — dominant bullish sector (52% of names on a buy signal)

By far the widest, deepest bullish sector in the file: 9 trend buys and 3 reversal buys out of 23 names.

TickerNameLTMTSTMomentumPlay
CRWDCrowdStrike Holdings95.388.086.5+23.85Trend buy — strongest, most fully-aligned momentum reading in the entire file
FTNTFortinet Inc94.682.977.8+12.02Trend buy — cybersecurity strength confirming CRWD, not a one-off
PANWPalo Alto Networks91.576.282.3+11.39Trend buy — third cybersecurity name in the top four momentum readings
PLTRPalantir Technologies86.495.089.5+6.01Trend buy — near-max across all three horizons
SNPSSynopsys Inc43.370.567.4+13.34Reversal buy — long-term still base-building but medium/short term have already turned decisively, second-highest momentum in the file
ZSZscaler Inc32.788.187.0+8.97Reversal buy — sharpest long-term-to-short-term gap of the reversal group
CDNSCadence Design Systems49.974.075.5+6.12Reversal buy

Reason: This isn’t a couple of stocks running hot — it’s the largest sector in the file (23 names) with more than half flashing a bullish signal, split cleanly between an established mega-cap security/software trend cohort (CRWD, FTNT, PANW, PLTR, MSFT) and a fresh reversal cohort (SNPS, ZS, CDNS) turning up from long-term bases. That combination — breadth plus multiple stages of the move represented — is the strongest read of any sector across all three exchanges screened so far.

2. Technology Hardware and Equipment — broad sector, smaller hit rate but real reversal setups

TickerNameLTMTSTMomentumPlay
MUMicron Technology70.971.268.8+1.42Trend buy — only fully-aligned name in a 20-stock sector
AVGOBroadcom Inc38.873.473.5+4.47Reversal buy — long-term still lagging but medium/short term have already broken to the top of their range
QCOMQualcomm Inc32.979.084.4+4.27Reversal buy — near-identical setup to AVGO

Reason: Only 15% of this sector qualifies, but it’s a 20-name sector, so the signal has real weight, and AVGO/QCOM share an almost identical reversal fingerprint (weak long-term, strong medium/short-term, positive momentum) — that kind of repeated pattern across two large-cap semis is a more convincing tell than a single isolated reading.

3. Oil, Gas and Coal — small sample (only 2 names in this sector)

TickerNameLTMTSTMomentumPlay
BKRBaker Hughes Co71.676.179.5+1.91Trend buy

Reason: Flagged separately because the 50% “hit rate” is really just 1 of 2 names — treat as a single-stock idea, not sector conviction.

4. Retailers

TickerNameLTMTSTMomentumPlay
DASHDoorDash Inc95.087.070.1+0.64Trend buy — near-max on long/medium term

Reason: Only qualifying name out of 7 in the sector; momentum is positive but modest, so this is a continuation trade rather than an accelerating one — see the sell side below, where this same sector also holds two breakdowns (PDD, ROST).


🔴 SELL SIDE — sectors ranked by bearish signal strength

1. Retailers — split sector, two distinct breakdown types

TickerNameLTMTSTMomentumPlay
ROSTRoss Stores Inc71.38.410.7-4.96Reversal sell — was a long-term leader, medium/short term have both collapsed
PDDPinduoduo Inc ADR19.29.317.9-3.57Trend sell — already broken down across all three horizons

Reason: Ranked first on the sell side because it’s the largest sector (7 names) showing bearish signals, and ROST specifically is one of the sharpest reversals in the file — a stock that was structurally strong (71.3 long-term) now sitting near the bottom of both shorter-term ranges.

2. Travel and Leisure

TickerNameLTMTSTMomentumPlay
BKNGBooking Holdings Inc73.966.513.5-5.04Reversal sell — sharpest momentum break of the sell-side group

Reason: Long and medium-term levels were both still strong (73.9/66.5) right up until the short-term collapse to 13.5 — a fast, high-conviction reversal rather than a slow fade.

3. Beverages

TickerNameLTMTSTMomentumPlay
MNSTMonster Beverage Corp75.033.89.3-4.93Reversal sell — long-term strength has fully unwound

Reason: One of the widest long-term-to-short-term gaps on the sell side (75.0 → 9.3), with momentum among the most negative in the file.

4. Single-name breakdowns worth flagging (small-sample sectors)

TickerSectorLTMTSTMomentumPlay
FERConstruction and Materials1.34.04.1-6.39Trend sell — the single worst reading (all three levels) in the entire file
AXONAerospace and Defense75.055.815.7-2.54Reversal sell
PCARIndustrial Engineering68.05.28.7-3.72Reversal sell
MDLZPersonal Care, Drug and Grocery Stores71.337.316.7-3.04Reversal sell
AMGNPharmaceuticals, Biotech & Cannabis88.267.215.0-2.84Reversal sell

Reason: Each of these is the only name in its sector, so there’s no sector-wide conviction to lean on — but FER’s readings are the single worst in the file on every metric, and AMGN/PCAR/MDLZ all show the same “strong long-term, collapsed short-term” reversal fingerprint seen in the ranked sectors above.


Bottom line

  • Best trend buys: CRWD, FTNT, PANW (Software) — CRWD’s momentum (+23.85) is the standout in the entire file
  • Best reversal buys: SNPS, ZS (Software); AVGO, QCOM (Semiconductors) — same weak-long/strong-short fingerprint repeated across two large sectors
  • Best trend sell: FER (Construction & Materials) — worst reading in the file; PDD (Retailers)
  • Best reversal sells: ROST (Retailers), BKNG (Travel & Leisure), MNST (Beverages)

This is a mechanical reading of the trend/momentum levels — no fundamentals, valuation, or news context were considered, so treat it as a screening starting point rather than a standalone recommendation.

Dow 30 Trend & Reversal Screen — Sector Report

Universe: all 30 constituents in the file (a mega-cap blue-chip list, so most sectors here contain just 1–3 names rather than the deep sector pools — ranking is by signal quality/strength per sector, not by % of names hit).

Reading the data

  • Long/Medium/Short Term Level (0–100): position within each timeframe’s trading range. Near 100 = pressing highs on that horizon; near 0 = pressing lows.
  • Momentum: rate of change/acceleration — positive means the move is still gaining speed, negative means it’s accelerating lower.
  • Trend play: all three levels aligned with momentum confirming — an established, continuing move.
  • Reversal play: the short-term level has flipped hard against the long-term level, with momentum sizeable enough to matter.

🟢 BUY SIDE — sectors ranked by bullish signal strength

1. Software and Computer Services — clear #1 bullish sector

TickerNameLTMTSTMomentumPlay
CRMSalesforce.com Inc90.090.689.9+23.27Trend buy — the strongest, most fully-aligned reading in the entire file by a wide margin
MSFTMicrosoft Corp95.692.978.8+4.37Trend buy — near-maximal on long and medium term, momentum still expanding
IBMIBM Corp26.682.748.2+1.42No qualifying signal — medium-term strength hasn’t been confirmed by long or short term; watch rather than trade

Reason: Two of the three names in this sector are outright trend buys, and CRM’s momentum reading (+23.27) is roughly 4x the next-highest positive momentum in the file — this is the single most convicted bullish move on the list, with MSFT confirming the sector isn’t a one-stock story.

2. Energy (Oil, Gas and Coal)

TickerNameLTMTSTMomentumPlay
CVXChevron Corp84.368.568.6+0.06Trend buy — all three levels aligned and above 65

Reason: Clean trend alignment across all timeframes, though momentum is essentially flat (+0.06) — this is a steady continuation rather than an accelerating move, so size it accordingly against CRM/MSFT.

3. Consumer Electronics (Leisure Goods) — dip/reversal buy

TickerNameLTMTSTMomentumPlay
AAPLApple Inc74.038.571.1+2.27Reversal buy — medium-term dipped to 38.5 but short-term has already snapped back near the long-term high, with momentum confirming

Reason: The long-term trend (74.0) never broke down; the medium-term pullback looks to be over given the short-term is already back at 71.1 with positive, accelerating momentum — a buy-the-dip reversal rather than a fresh breakdown.

4. Semiconductors (Technology Hardware and Equipment) — momentum leader, watch for confirmation

TickerNameLTMTSTMomentumPlay
NVDANVIDIA Corp76.074.149.0+6.33Reversal watch — long/medium term still strong, short-term has cooled to the middle of its range but momentum is the second-highest positive reading in the file

Reason: The gap between a still-strong medium-term level (74.1) and a cooler short-term level (49.0) alongside strongly positive momentum reads as a pause within an uptrend rather than a breakdown — worth watching for the short-term level to turn back up before treating it as a full reversal signal.

5. General Industrials — early basing, lowest-conviction buy idea

TickerNameLTMTSTMomentumPlay
HONHoneywell International44.025.232.1+1.94Early-stage watch — levels are still low across the board but momentum has turned positive

Reason: Included for completeness rather than conviction — none of the three levels clear a “strong” threshold, but this is the only industrial name with positive momentum, worth flagging against its sector-mate 3M (see sell side) which is outright breaking down.


🔴 SELL SIDE — sectors ranked by bearish signal strength

1. Travel and Leisure

TickerNameLTMTSTMomentumPlay
MCDMcDonald’s Corp5.425.833.7-3.01Trend sell — all three levels depressed with negative momentum

Reason: Every timeframe is weak and momentum is still negative. One caveat: the short-term level (33.7) sitting above the medium (25.8) and long-term (5.4) levels hints at very early stabilization off the bottom — worth watching for momentum to turn before assuming the downtrend is done, but on the numbers as they stand this is a sell, not a reversal.

2. Pharmaceuticals, Biotechnology and Cannabis Producers — two of three names breaking down

TickerNameLTMTSTMomentumPlay
MRKMerck & Co86.923.020.2-5.04Reversal sell — worst momentum reading of the bearish group, sharp break from a long-term high
AMGNAmgen Inc88.267.215.0-2.84Reversal sell — long-term still strong, short-term has collapsed
JNJJohnson & Johnson88.943.431.0-2.53No qualifying reversal signal (short-term above the -25 reversal cutoff) but the whole sector is trending the same direction — treat as a soft sell / avoid-for-now

Reason: All three Dow pharma names carry negative momentum, with MRK and AMGN both showing a hard break from long-term strength — a sector-wide reversal rather than a single-name story.

3. Beverages

TickerNameLTMTSTMomentumPlay
KOCoca-Cola Co86.852.811.2-3.36Reversal sell — was a long-term leader (86.8), short-term has broken to the bottom of its range

Reason: The gap between long-term (86.8) and short-term (11.2) is one of the widest in the file — a fast, sharp reversal out of a well-established uptrend.

4. General Industrials — the sell side of a sector split

TickerNameLTMTSTMomentumPlay
MMM3M Co74.116.55.6-2.20Reversal sell — long-term strength has fully unwound

Reason: Worth reading together with Honeywell above — same sector, opposite signal. 3M has broken down hard from a strong long-term base while Honeywell is just starting to turn up from a weak one, which is more a stock-specific divergence than a sector-wide call.

5. Media

TickerNameLTMTSTMomentumPlay
DISWalt Disney Co62.857.221.7-3.28Reversal sell — short-term has dropped well below both longer-term levels with momentum still negative

Reason: Long and medium-term levels are still respectable (62.8/57.2), but the short-term break to 21.7 with accelerating negative momentum is an early warning the broader trend may be rolling over.


No qualifying signal (neutral / mixed — not actionable on this screen)

WMT, CSCO, BA, CAT, AXP, GS, HD, JPM, NKE, PG, SHW, TRV, UNH, VZ, V — levels and momentum don’t align clearly enough in either direction to call a trend or reversal play.


Bottom line

  • Best trend buys: CRM, MSFT (Software), CVX (Energy)
  • Best reversal buy: AAPL (dip-buy within an intact long-term uptrend)
  • Best trend sell: MCD (Travel & Leisure)
  • Best reversal sells: KO (Beverages), MRK/AMGN (Pharma), MMM (Industrials), DIS (Media)

This is a mechanical reading of the trend/momentum levels — no fundamentals, valuation, or news context were considered, so treat it as a screening starting point rather than a standalone recommendation.

TSX Trend & Reversal Screen — Sector Report 2026-08-28

Universe: 980 TSX-listed equities with sector classification (of 2,827 total rows — the remainder are ETFs/closed-end funds with no sector tag and were excluded from sector ranking).

Reading the data

  • Long/Medium/Short Term Level (0–100): where the stock sits in its trading range on each timeframe. Near 100 = pressing new highs on that horizon; near 0 = pressing new lows.
  • Momentum: rate of change/acceleration. Positive = accelerating higher; negative = accelerating lower; the further from zero, the sharper the move.
  • Trend play = all three levels aligned high (or low) with momentum confirming — the move is established and continuing.
  • Reversal play = Short Term level has flipped hard against the Long Term level, with a strong momentum reading — the early stage of a change in direction.

Each sector below is scored by the % of its constituents flashing a bullish trend or reversal signal, not just raw count, so a 25-name sector isn’t automatically “more bullish” than a 20-name one just because it has more hits.


🟢 BUY SIDE — ranked by bullish signal strength

1. Banks — most successful bullish sector (32% of names on a buy signal)

Every major bank name is trading at the top of its long, medium and short-term range with momentum still positive — a textbook broad-based sector trend, not just one stock running hot.

TickerNameLTMTSTMomentumPlay
TDToronto-Dominion Bank88.681.083.0+4.46Trend buy — strongest momentum of the group while still fully aligned across all three horizons
BNSBank of Nova Scotia90.269.765.7+4.09Trend buy — long-term leadership with momentum re-accelerating
NA.PR.SNational Bank Pref Series 3089.284.083.5+1.19Trend buy (preferred/income sleeve)
LB.PR.HLaurentian Bank Pref Series 1397.183.389.0+1.04Trend buy (preferred/income sleeve)

Reason: With all three timeframes >65 and momentum still expanding on TD and BNS specifically, this is sector-wide institutional accumulation rather than a single-name spike — the cleanest continuation trade in the file. No qualifying reversal setup appeared in Banks; the group is already mid-trend, not turning.


2. Real Estate Investment & Services — 27% bullish

TickerNameLTMTSTMomentumPlay
BPO.PR.ABrookfield Office Props Pref AA100.099.299.3+1.13Trend buy — maxed out across all horizons
BPO.PR.PBrookfield Office Props Pref P99.296.794.3+2.05Trend buy — strongest momentum of the Brookfield preferred stack
IVQInvesque Inc18.348.791.7+5.23Reversal buy — short-term level exploded from a long-term base with the sector’s best momentum reading

Reason: Note the trend names here are almost entirely Brookfield Office Properties preferred share series (BPO.PR.*) — real conviction, but concentrated in one issuer’s income paper rather than a broad common-equity move. IVQ is the standout common-equity idea: still depressed on a long-term view (18.3) but the short-term level near the top of its range with momentum of +5.23 is a genuine early-stage reversal, not just noise.


3. Oil, Gas and Coal — 24% bullish, largest absolute count (25 trend + 3 reversal names)

TickerNameLTMTSTMomentumPlay
CVVYCavvy Energy Ltd95.381.585.2+19.17Trend buy — by far the strongest momentum reading in the entire dataset
PSIPason Systems Inc.82.982.288.4+9.22Trend buy — energy services, broad-based strength
TNZTenaz Energy Corp90.483.983.5+6.07Trend buy
ACXACT Energy Technologies91.094.492.1+4.36Trend buy
TXPTouchstone Exploration45.278.3100.0+5.96Reversal buy — short-term at the absolute ceiling while long-term still catching up
FECFrontera Energy Corp28.152.466.4+3.86Reversal buy — earliest-stage of the three reversal names

Reason: This is the widest, most liquid bullish sector by headcount and the only one producing a genuine momentum outlier (CVVY at +19.17). The mix of large trend cohort plus three distinct reversal names (TXP, FEC, TCW) suggests capital is rotating into energy broadly, not just chasing one story.

Honourable mentions (smaller sample, still notable): Software and Computer Services — DCBO (98.4/96.1/91.0, mom +3.86) and MSFT-CDR (mom +4.53) on trend; TC (Tucows) as a reversal standout at LT 10.4 → ST 83.2 with momentum +16.69, the second-highest momentum reading in the file. Electricity and Telecommunications show clean trend buys but almost exclusively in preferred/income shares (Fortis, BCE, Brookfield Renewable preferreds) rather than common equity.


🔴 SELL SIDE — sectors breaking down, ranked by bearish signal strength

1. Travel and Leisure — 37% of names on a sell signal (highest of any sector, either side)

TickerNameLTMTSTMomentumPlay
TRZTransat A.T. Inc6.85.68.7-6.33Trend sell — collapsed across all three horizons
BRAGBragg Gaming Group1.510.09.1-3.58Trend sell
QSRRestaurant Brands Intl80.721.815.8-4.50Reversal sell — was a long-term leader, now breaking down hard on the short term
ACAir Canada72.542.25.3-3.47Reversal sell — long-term strength unwinding fast

Reason: This sector has the single highest concentration of sell signals in the entire file. QSR is the sharpest reversal — a stock that was structurally strong on a long-term view (80.7) now trading at the bottom of its short-term range, which is the clearest topping pattern in the dataset.

2. Real Estate Investment Trusts — 22% sell signals

TickerNameLTMTSTMomentumPlay
AP.UNAllied Properties REIT1.64.79.8-3.91Trend sell
CAR.UNCDN Apartment REIT1.64.97.5-3.29Trend sell
KMP.UNKillam Apartment REIT68.87.16.7-3.32Reversal sell — long-term strength that has completely inverted on medium/short term

Reason: Rate-sensitive REITs are broadly weak; KMP.UN is the cleanest reversal because it’s the only name still showing long-term strength (68.8) against a fully broken-down short term — the others are already in established downtrends rather than freshly turning.

3. Precious Metals and Mining — reversal-only breakdown (gold miners rolling over)

TickerNameLTMTSTMomentumPlay
DPMDundee Precious Metals78.524.65.5-8.89Reversal sell — worst momentum in the sector, sharp break from a strong long-term base
OREOrezone Gold Corp81.645.25.8-6.72Reversal sell
WDOWesdome Gold Mines81.763.113.8-6.47Reversal sell
IMGIamgold Corp65.057.714.5-6.45Reversal sell

Reason: No stock in this sector qualifies as a bearish trend — every long-term level is still well above 60. This is a sector-wide reversal, not a trend breakdown: gold miners that were structurally strong are turning down together, which reads as profit-taking after a run rather than a change in the underlying long-term picture.

4. Industrial Metals and Mining — mixed trend + reversal breakdown

TickerNameLTMTSTMomentumPlay
TLOTalon Metals Corp70.556.53.1-8.05Reversal sell — worst momentum in the sector
NGEXNgex Minerals60.243.77.8-5.65Reversal sell
SAMStarcore International Mines9.919.322.2-4.91Trend sell
CIAChampion Iron6.527.011.0-3.16Trend sell

Reason: Unlike precious metals, base-metal miners show both flavours of weakness — some (TLO, NGEX) rolling over from strength, others (SAM, CIA) already in outright downtrends, suggesting broader-based industrial demand concerns rather than single-metal profit-taking.


Bottom line

  • Best trend continuation buys: TD, BNS (Banks); CVVY, PSI, ACX (Oil, Gas & Coal)
  • Best reversal buys: IVQ (Real Estate), TXP (Oil, Gas & Coal), TC (Software)
  • Best trend sells: TRZ (Travel & Leisure), AP.UN/CAR.UN (REITs)
  • Best reversal sells: QSR (Travel & Leisure), DPM (Precious Metals), KMP.UN (REITs)

This is a mechanical reading of the trend/momentum levels — no fundamentals, valuation, liquidity or news context were considered, so treat it as a screening starting point rather than a standalone recommendation.